Britain’s election results may foreshadow November’s results
May 12, 2010
For the first time in almost 70 years, neither of the two main parties, Labour and Conservative, won a parliamentary majority in the British elections, last week.
That’s important, because the majority determines the executive branch, namely the prime minister and cabinet.
Largely, this failure to garner a majority by either party was due to a very dissatisfied electorate. Britains were upset about the economy, huge budget deficits and lackluster leadership.
A minority party — the Liberal Democrats, led by charismatic leader Nick Clegg — was able to capitalize on public frustration. They won enough votes to force a main party to make concessions and form a coalition government.
The Conservatives and the Liberal Democrats announced an agreement Wednesday to form a coalition. In the announcement, Conservative leader David Cameron said, “It will be an administration united behind three key principles: freedom, fairness and responsibility.”
So what does this mean for the upcoming November mid-term elections in the United States?
Public anger about the economy and federal budget deficits will likely have a significant effect on the elections. As in Britain, those issues helped to galvanize an electorate.
It caused a 4 percent increase in voter turnout from 2005, according to the BBC. It ‘s hard to say, though, who that favors, here. It should favor the Republicans, since they are generally seen as a party that supports smaller government and business.
However, many are dissatisfied with both mainstream parties right now, since it seems neither have solutions to the growing problems the federal government is facing. So it likely depends on what happens with the Tea Party movement, which was borne out of the current frustration with the federal government.
Will it become its own political party? Will its supporters vote Republican or Libertarian? From early results, it seems the movement has changed the landscape of the Republican Party within some states.
Currently, Senator Bob Bennett, R-Utah, has served three terms, and already lost in a bid for a fourth term in the Republican primary. Florida Gov. Charlie Crist, a moderate Republican, withdrew from a Republican Senate primary to run as an independent. He was deemed not conservative enough by many Republicans.
“The reason Crist lost the GOP nomination was because he supported the Obama stimulus, then denied he supported it and lost a lot of his following because of [it],” said Sean Hannity, a conservative talk show host.
So it seems, from early indicators, most in the Tea Party movement believe it is better to work within an existing party and not form a third party. They have created change by throwing out those not ideologically pure enough for them.
However, if a third party can produce a charismatic leader, much like Nick Clegg in Britain or Ross Perot in the 1990s, there is no reason to believe it couldn’t have a measure of success at the national level. If it can happen in a country like the United Kingdom, it can certainly happen in the United States, despite the different political and voting systems.